the Technical picture for the buyers on the world oil market “remains favorable”, and “to the end of the week is expected to test $45 per barrel of” Brent. This opinion was expressed analyst IAC “Alpari” Vladislav Antonov.
According to him, “investors believe the increase in demand for oil, and that there will be a second wave of disease coronavirus”. “I think it’s too optimistic mood, because every day the world is newly infected 150 million people. Even recession is not observed. Good that China holds a new disease outbreak is under control,” the review says expert.
for his part, head of data analysis CEX.IO Broker Yuriy Mazur says that today, “Brent has grown on 0,23% and has confidently overcome a mark of $ 43 per barrel”. “Technical growth to $45 should not meet strong resistance, but above the level 45 “black gold” is unlikely to break”, — the analyst doubts.
we also Recall that since the beginning of this year on the global oil market rode several waves of falling prices for “black gold”. The negative situation caused by a whole complex of factors: a General overproduction of raw materials, a sharp drop in demand due to the rapid spread of coronavirus infection COVID-19 (March 11, was declared a pandemic) and concerns about its impact on the global economy and the collapse of the deal, OPEC+ (officially from April 1, but in fact, after fruitless negotiations of the countries-oil producers at a meeting on March 6 in Vienna). Just last circumstance was the trigger to the collapse in oil prices. Moreover, Saudi Arabia announced plans to increase production and lower oil prices. Later, the desire to lower the prices declared Iraq, Kuwait, UAE and Nigeria.
For the first quarter of 2020, the price of Brent crude fell by 65.6%, while WTI — by 66.5%. And at the end of March the cost of June futures on Brent fell below $22 per barrel (to $of 21.72), that is, to at least March 2002, and the may futures for WTI to us $20.1.
on April 12 OPEC countries+ finally agreed on a new deal, joined by 23 States. The agreement will be valid for two years, from may 1, 2020 to may 1, 2022-th. In may—June this year, the production cuts will amount to 9.7 million barrels per day (from October 2018), then — until the end of 2020 — 8 million barrels, and 6 million by the end of April 2022. While Russia and Saudi Arabia base count will be 11 million barrels per day (of the Russian Federation in the first 2 months will reduce production at 2.5 million barrels per day). New business OPEC+ was a forced reaction of oil producing countries on the situation in the market and pressure from the United States. Overall, however, it does not cover the volume decline in world demand for the same in the market have accumulated huge reserves of raw materials. Nevertheless, assured the head of the Ministry of energy Alexander Novak, if necessary, the parties to the transaction can take additional measures to stabilize the situation on the market.
on June 6, the member countries of OPEC+ extended on a month — until the end of July — the period of validity of the agreement to reduce oil production to 9.7 million barrels per day.
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